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== Grizzly Bear Attacks in the USA Risk Calculator ==
== Grizzly Bear Attacks in the USA Risk Calculator ==
Grizzly bear attacks in the USA are rare but serious incidents that occur primarily in wilderness areas where grizzly bears (Ursus arctos) inhabit, such as Alaska, Montana, Wyoming, and Idaho. This risk calculator estimates your likelihood of experiencing a grizzly bear attack based on location, activity, season, and precautionary measures. By selecting your planned activities and precautions, you can assess your risk and learn how to stay safe in bear country.
Grizzly bear attacks in the USA are rare but can lead to serious injury or death, primarily in areas with grizzly populations like Alaska and national parks in the lower 48 states. This calculator estimates your chances of encountering a grizzly bear, being injured in an attack, and being killed, based on exposure, location, activity, season, and precautionary measures. The purpose is to help you understand and mitigate risks while in bear country.


=== Your Inputs ===
=== Your Inputs ===
Select the options that best describe your situation to estimate your risk of a grizzly bear attack.
Select the options that best describe your situation to estimate your risk of a grizzly bear encounter, injury, or fatality.
 
<DropDown title="Exposure" table="exposure">
* 1 day: You plan to spend 1 day in grizzly bear country.
* 10 days: You plan to spend 10 days in grizzly bear country.
* 100 days: You plan to spend 100 days in grizzly bear country.
* 1000 days: You plan to spend 1000 days in grizzly bear country.
</DropDown>


<DropDown title="Location" table="location">
<DropDown title="Location" table="location">
* Alaska: You are in Alaska, which has the highest grizzly bear attack rate in the USA.
* Alaska: You are in Alaska, with high grizzly density and remote wilderness.
* Yellowstone National Park: You are in Yellowstone National Park, a known grizzly habitat.
* Yellowstone National Park: You are in Yellowstone National Park, a key grizzly habitat with many visitors.
* Glacier National Park: You are in Glacier National Park, home to a significant grizzly population.
* Glacier National Park: You are in Glacier National Park, with significant grizzly presence.
* Other Lower 48 States: You are in other grizzly habitats in the lower 48 states (e.g., parts of Montana, Wyoming, Idaho).
* Other Lower 48 States: You are in other grizzly areas in the lower 48 states (e.g., parts of Montana, Wyoming, Idaho).
* Non-Grizzly Area: You are in an area with no grizzly bears (e.g., urban or eastern USA).
* Non-Grizzly Area: You are in an area without grizzlies (e.g., urban or eastern USA).
</DropDown>
</DropDown>


<DropDown title="Activity" table="activity">
<DropDown title="Activity" table="activity">
* Hiking/Camping: You are hiking or camping in grizzly bear country.
* Hiking/Camping: You are hiking or camping in grizzly country.
* Hunting: You are hunting in grizzly bear country, which may involve stealth and attractants.
* Hunting: You are hunting in grizzly country, involving stealth and potential attractants.
* Working Outdoors: You are working outdoors (e.g., logging, farming) in grizzly habitats.
* Working Outdoors: You are working outdoors (e.g., logging, research) in grizzly habitats.
* Other Activities: You are engaging in other activities (e.g., sightseeing) with lower risk.
* Other Activities: You are engaging in other low-risk activities (e.g., sightseeing from roads).
</DropDown>
</DropDown>


<DropDown title="Season" table="season">
<DropDown title="Season" table="season">
* August: You are in grizzly country during August, the peak month for attacks.
* Summer: You are in grizzly country during summer (June-August), peak activity period.
* Other Active Months: You are in grizzly country during other bear-active months (April–October, excluding August).
* Other Active Months: You are in grizzly country during other active months (April-May, September-October).
* Hibernation Season: You are in grizzly country during hibernation (November–March).
* Hibernation Season: You are in grizzly country during hibernation (November-March).
</DropDown>
</DropDown>


<DropDown title="Precautionary Measures" table="precautions">
<DropDown title="Precautionary Measures" table="precautions">
* Bear Spray and Food Storage: You carry bear spray and follow strict food storage protocols.
* Bear Spray and Food Storage: You carry bear spray and follow strict food storage protocols to minimize attractants.
* Bear Spray Only: You carry bear spray but do not follow strict food storage.
* Bear Spray Only: You carry bear spray but do not follow strict food storage.
* Food Storage Only: You follow strict food storage but do not carry bear spray.
* Food Storage Only: You follow strict food storage but do not carry bear spray.
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=== Your Results ===
=== Your Results ===
<RiskDisplay model="grizzly_attack_risk"></RiskDisplay>
<RiskDisplay model="encounter_risk"></RiskDisplay>
<RiskDisplay model="injury_risk"></RiskDisplay>
<RiskDisplay model="fatality_risk"></RiskDisplay>
 
See the [[Grizzly Bear Attacks in the USA/Data|grizzly bear data page]] for all of the details on how these risks are calculated.
 
Generated by an AI assistant.

Revision as of 03:12, 5 September 2025

Grizzly Bear Attacks in the USA Risk Calculator

Grizzly bear attacks in the USA are rare but can lead to serious injury or death, primarily in areas with grizzly populations like Alaska and national parks in the lower 48 states. This calculator estimates your chances of encountering a grizzly bear, being injured in an attack, and being killed, based on exposure, location, activity, season, and precautionary measures. The purpose is to help you understand and mitigate risks while in bear country.

Your Inputs

Select the options that best describe your situation to estimate your risk of a grizzly bear encounter, injury, or fatality.

[{"exposure_level":"1 day","exposure_days":"1","daily_encounter_rate":"0.00000534","injury_given_encounter":"0.048","fatality_given_injury":"0.13"},{"exposure_level":"10 days","exposure_days":"10","daily_encounter_rate":"0.00000534","injury_given_encounter":"0.048","fatality_given_injury":"0.13"},{"exposure_level":"100 days","exposure_days":"100","daily_encounter_rate":"0.00000534","injury_given_encounter":"0.048","fatality_given_injury":"0.13"}]

[{"location":"Alaska","location_odds_ratio":"3.0"},{"location":"Yellowstone National Park","location_odds_ratio":"0.4"},{"location":"Glacier National Park","location_odds_ratio":"1.0"},{"location":"Other Lower 48 States","location_odds_ratio":"0.5"},{"location":"Non-Grizzly Area","location_odds_ratio":"0.0"}]

[{"activity":"Hiking\/Camping","activity_odds_ratio":"1.0"},{"activity":"Hunting","activity_odds_ratio":"2.0"},{"activity":"Working Outdoors","activity_odds_ratio":"1.0"},{"activity":"Other Activities","activity_odds_ratio":"0.5"}]

[{"season":"Summer","season_percentage_attacks":"48","season_months":"3"},{"season":"Other Active Months","season_percentage_attacks":"52","season_months":"6"},{"season":"Hibernation Season","season_percentage_attacks":"0","season_months":"3"}]

[{"precautions":"Bear Spray and Food Storage","precautions_risk_reduction":"0.02"},{"precautions":"Bear Spray Only","precautions_risk_reduction":"0.08"},{"precautions":"Food Storage Only","precautions_risk_reduction":"0.5"},{"precautions":"No Precautions","precautions_risk_reduction":"1.0"}]

Your Results

Your chance of having a dangerous, close encounter with a grizzly bear is {{One_In_X|{result}}} Your chance of being injured in a grizzly bear attack is {{One_In_X|{result}}} Your chance of being killed in a grizzly bear attack is {{One_In_X|{result}}}

See the grizzly bear data page for all of the details on how these risks are calculated.

Generated by an AI assistant.