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Use One_In_X template
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<RiskModel name="fatality_risk_per_jump" calculation="mean_fatality_rate*1000">Your chances of dying, per jump, are about {result} in 1,000</RiskModel>
<RiskModel name="fatality_risk_per_jump" calculation="mean_fatality_rate">Your chances of dying, per jump, are about {{One_In_X|{result}}}</RiskModel>
<RiskModel name="injury_risk_per_jump" calculation="mean_injury_rate*1000">Your chances of being seriously injured, per jump, are about {result} in 1,000</RiskModel>
<RiskModel name="injury_risk_per_jump" calculation="mean_injury_rate">Your chances of being seriously injured, per jump, are about {{One_In_X|{result}}}</RiskModel>

Revision as of 23:08, 28 August 2025

Data from studies on skydiving and BASE jumping.

This could be further refined: skydiving seems to be getting safer over time, with fewer injuries/deaths reported in more recent years. The big skydiving systemic review used here uses statistics from years ago.

Other ways to slice the data might be useful, too-- for example, if there are statistics on tandem diving with an experienced skydiver, or wing-suit flying, or first-time-solo jumps those could be interesting variations.

variation mean_fatality_rate mean_injury_rate reference

skydiving

0.000011

0.00044

Barthel C, Halvachizadeh S, Gamble JG, Pape HC, Rauer T. Recreational Skydiving-Really That Dangerous? A Systematic Review. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 10;20(2):1254. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20021254. PMID: 36674008; PMCID: PMC9859333

BASE jumping

0.0004

0.004

Soreide K, Ellingsen CL, Knutson V. How dangerous is BASE jumping? An analysis of adverse events in 20,850 jumps from the Kjerag Massif, Norway. J Trauma. 2007 May;62(5):1113-7. doi: 10.1097/01.ta.0000239815.73858.88. PMID: 17495709

  RiskModel: Parachuting/Data:fatality_risk_per_jump
Calculation: mean_fatality_rate
    Content: Your chances of dying, per jump, are about {{One_In_X|{result}}}
  RiskModel: Parachuting/Data:injury_risk_per_jump
Calculation: mean_injury_rate
    Content: Your chances of being seriously injured, per jump, are about {{One_In_X|{result}}}