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== Driving in the United States Risk Calculator ==
== Driving Risks Calculator ==
 
Driving involves inherent risks, including the potential for motor vehicle crashes that can result in fatalities, injuries, or property damage. This calculator estimates your crash risk based on key factors: distracted driving (e.g., cellphone use), speeding, and alcohol impairment. By selecting your driving behaviors, you can understand how these factors influence your likelihood of being involved in a crash.
Driving is common in the U.S., but it carries real risks of fatality and serious injury.
This calculator estimates your risk for a chosen distance and conditions.


=== Your Inputs ===
=== Your Inputs ===
Select your driving behaviors to estimate your crash risk:


Choose your driving conditions below:
<DropDown title="Distracted Driving" table="distracted_driving">
 
* None: You are fully focused on driving.
Select your distance (this sets how much exposure you have):
* Cellphone Use: You are using a cellphone while driving.
<DropDown title="Distance Driven" table="distance_options"></DropDown>
* Other Distraction: You are engaged in other distracting activities (e.g., eating, adjusting radio).
</DropDown>


Driving at night increases risk because more crashes happen in fewer miles:
<DropDown title="Speeding" table="speeding">
<DropDown title="Time of Day" table="time_of_day"></DropDown>
* Not Speeding: You drive at or below the speed limit.
* Speeding: You drive above the speed limit or too fast for conditions.
</DropDown>


Wearing a seat belt greatly reduces the risk of death or serious injury:
<DropDown title="Alcohol Impairment" table="alcohol_impairment">
<DropDown title="Seat-belt Usage" table="seatbelt_use"></DropDown>
* BAC < 0.08%: You have not consumed alcohol or your BAC is below the legal limit.
* BAC ≥ 0.08%: Your blood alcohol content is at or above the legal limit.
</DropDown>


=== Your Results ===
=== Your Results ===
 
<RiskDisplay model="crash_risk"></RiskDisplay>
<RiskDisplay model="fatality_model"></RiskDisplay>
 
<RiskDisplay model="injury_model"></RiskDisplay>
 
''Calculation note'': Each model first computes the expected number of events λ from the verbatim base rates (per 100 million vehicle miles traveled), scaled by distance and modifiers. It then converts λ into a probability of at least one event using the Poisson formula \(p = 1 - e^{-λ}\). Because <RiskModel> only supports numeric constants and math operators, the constant *e* is approximated as 2.718281828 and exponentiation is written with the `^` operator.
 
----
 
Generated by [https://openai.com/ ChatGPT-5]

Revision as of 00:58, 1 September 2025

Driving Risks Calculator

Driving involves inherent risks, including the potential for motor vehicle crashes that can result in fatalities, injuries, or property damage. This calculator estimates your crash risk based on key factors: distracted driving (e.g., cellphone use), speeding, and alcohol impairment. By selecting your driving behaviors, you can understand how these factors influence your likelihood of being involved in a crash.

Your Inputs

Select your driving behaviors to estimate your crash risk:

dropdown: cannot find DataTable2 table distracted_driving

Your Results

riskdisplay: can't find riskmodel named crash_risk