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Driving

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Revision as of 15:43, 3 September 2025 by Gavinandresen (talk | contribs) (Updated distraction RiskModel)

Driving in the United States Risk Calculator

Driving is common in the U.S., but it carries real risks of fatality and serious injury. This calculator estimates your expected risk over different distances, times of day, seat-belt use, alcohol impairment, distraction, and speeding, based on national crash data.

Your Inputs

Choose your driving conditions below:

Select your distance of travel: dropdown: cannot find DataTable2 table distance_options

Driving at night increases risk because more crashes happen in fewer miles: [{"time_period":"Day","time_fatality_multiplier":"1.0","time_injury_multiplier":"1.0"},{"time_period":"Night","time_fatality_multiplier":"3.56","time_injury_multiplier":"1.47"}]

Wearing a seat belt greatly reduces the risk of death or serious injury: [{"belt_status":"Worn (car)","belt_fatality_multiplier":"1.0","belt_injury_multiplier":"1.0"},{"belt_status":"Not worn (car)","belt_fatality_multiplier":"1.82","belt_injury_multiplier":"2.0"},{"belt_status":"Worn (SUV\/van\/truck)","belt_fatality_multiplier":"1.0","belt_injury_multiplier":"1.0"},{"belt_status":"Not worn (SUV\/van\/truck)","belt_fatality_multiplier":"2.5","belt_injury_multiplier":"2.857"}]

How often does the driver drive after drinking too much (frequency of impaired driving): [{"alcohol_frequency_label":"Never","alcohol_frequency_share":"0"},{"alcohol_frequency_label":"A few times per year","alcohol_frequency_share":"0.001"},{"alcohol_frequency_label":"About once a month","alcohol_frequency_share":"0.005"},{"alcohol_frequency_label":"About once a week","alcohol_frequency_share":"0.02"},{"alcohol_frequency_label":"Several times a week","alcohol_frequency_share":"0.05"}]

How often does the driver interact with a phone (dialing/texting/etc.) while driving: [{"distraction_frequency_label":"None","distraction_frequency_share":"0"},{"distraction_frequency_label":"One interaction per trip","distraction_frequency_share":"0.005"},{"distraction_frequency_label":"Several interactions per trip","distraction_frequency_share":"0.02"},{"distraction_frequency_label":"Lots of interactions per trip","distraction_frequency_share":"0.05"}]

Higher speeds increase both crash likelihood and severity: [{"speeding_status":"At or below limit","speeding_multiplier":"1.0"},{"speeding_status":"Above limit","speeding_multiplier":"2.0"}]

Your Results

Your estimated chance of being in a fatal crash is {{One_In_X|{result}}}.

Your estimated chance of being injured in a crash is {{One_In_X|{result}}}. Note: “Injuries” reflect police-reported injuries (not limited to hospitalizations).


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